Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (week 1, 2025)

01 Sunflower 

Week 1 (December 30, 2024 - January 3, 2025) This week, the domestic sunflower price is stable. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices remained stable. The stocking before the holiday is coming to an end, and the oil mills have basically completed their stocking, so the sales of sunflowers are slow, and traders are bearish after the holiday and dare not stock up too much, which is bad for the sunflower market. The foreign sunflower prices stopped updating due to the New Year holiday abroad. In terms of supply, the price of sunflowers is weak, so the arrival volume is not too large, and the supply is relatively tight, which is good for the sunflower market.

It is expected that the price of sunflowers may fall after the holiday. At present, the price of sunflowers is too high, and the sales speed is slow. In addition, the foreign prices of sunflowers in Russia and Ukraine are still falling, which is bad for the sunflower market. Pay more attention to the foreign prices and the trend of my country's import volume in the later period.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 1 (December 30, 2024 - January 3, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,400 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 10,550 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 9,500 yuan/ton, and the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 10,600 yuan/ton. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower oil prices fluctuated in a narrow range. The foreign market price of sunflower oil is weak, and traders are bearish, which drags down the sunflower oil market. In order to speed up the sales and reduce inventory, some dealers cash out before the New Year, thus reducing prices. In terms of supply, the supply of sunflower oil is not as strong as the same period last year, so the oil mills are more likely to support prices, which is good for the sunflower oil market.

It is expected that the price of sunflower oil may remain stable and fluctuate. The shortage of supply in the market cannot be alleviated. Russia's export tariffs rose again in January, supporting the sunflower oil market. The Spring Festival stocking stage continues, and the demand for sunflower oil is good, which is good for the sunflower oil market.