Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (week 2, 2025)

01 Sunflower 

Week 2 (January 6-10, 2025) The domestic sunflower price is stable this week. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices remained stable. The stocking before the holiday was basically completed, so the sales of sunflowers were not fast. Traders continued to be bearish after the holiday and dared not to stock up more, which was bad for the sunflower market. The price of sunflowers on the foreign market tended to be stable, so the price in the domestic market did not change much. In terms of supply, the sharp reduction in production in the main sunflower producing countries has resulted in a small amount of sunflowers arriving at the port, and the supply is relatively tight, which is good for the sunflower market.

It is expected that the price of sunflowers may fall after the holiday. At present, the sales of sunflowers are slow, the demand is weak, and the foreign prices of sunflowers in Russia and Ukraine are weak, which is bad for the sunflower market. Pay more attention to the foreign prices and the trend of my country's imports in the later period.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 2 (January 6-10, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,400 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 10,550 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 9,500 yuan/ton, and the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 10,600 yuan/ton. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower oil prices were stable. The price of sunflower oil fell sharply, and traders continued to be bearish and replenished stocks on demand, dragging down the sunflower oil market. On the supply side, the supply of sunflower oil is tight, and oil mills are more willing to support prices, which is good for the sunflower oil market. On the demand side, the pre-holiday stocking is basically coming to an end, and most dealers are replenishing stocks in small quantities, and demand is weak, which is bad for the sunflower oil market.

It is expected that the price of sunflower oil may remain stable and fluctuate. The fundamentals of sunflower oil are still weak in supply and demand. With the support of the Spring Festival stocking stage, the relative speed of sunflower oil sales has accelerated, which is good for the sunflower oil market. The price of sunflower oil may fall after the holiday, because the foreign price is weak, and the domestic price will follow the decline.