Flaxseed, flax oil and flax cake market forecast (Week 6, 2025)

01 Flaxseed

In the 6th week (February 5-February 7, 2025), the national average price of domestic flax seeds was 5,144 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade screened flax seeds at Tianjin Port was 5,150 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade raw flax seeds at Tianjin Port was 5,000 yuan/ton. The flax seed market conditions in various regions this week are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, the national flaxseed price remained stable. In terms of supply, the arrival volume of flaxseed at Chinese ports is relatively large, and the market volume of flaxseed at ports will be relatively large in the later period, with sufficient supply. In terms of demand, the current purchase volume of Chinese flaxseed oil mills is lower than expected, and the operating rate of Chinese flaxseed oil mills has fallen, which is bearish for the port flaxseed market. This week, the international flaxseed price, the new season flaxseed in the Black Sea region of southern Russia is 550-555 US dollars/ton, which is stable compared with the previous year; the central region is 530-540 US dollars/ton, with a shipping date of February-March, which is the same as the previous year; Canada’s quotation is 590 US dollars/ton, which is unchanged from the previous year; Kazakhstan’s quotation is 500-510 US dollars/ton.

It is expected that the flaxseed price will remain stable in the short term. The fundamentals of flaxseed are strong supply and weak demand. Flaxseed has arrived in large quantities at the port. The arrival cost in Russia is relatively low, the supply is sufficient, and the demand of oil mills is weak, which is bearish for the flaxseed market.

02 Flax oil

Week 6 (February 5-February 7, 2025) The prices of second and third grade linseed oil in various parts of China this week are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, the price of linseed oil remained stable. At present, the operating rate of Chinese linseed oil factories is low, and the supply of linseed oil is tight, which is good for the linseed oil market. In terms of demand, the sales speed of linseed oil is slow after the holiday, which is bad for the linseed oil market. It is expected that the price of linseed oil will remain stable in the short term. The domestic soybean oil and rapeseed oil prices are strong, which supports the linseed oil market. The operating rate is low after the holiday, so the supply of linseed oil in the market is not large, which supports the linseed oil market. But the demand is weak, which is bad for the linseed oil market.

03 Flax cake

Week 6 (February 5-February 7, 2025) This week's flaxseed cake prices are as follows: Zhangjiakou 2800-3400 yuan/ton; Datong 2700-2800 yuan/ton; Shenchi 3000 yuan/ton; Zhongwei 2600-2900 yuan/ton; Shizuishan 3300 yuan/ton; Baotou 3000 yuan/ton; Tianjin 3200 yuan/ton.

Weekly Review:

The overall price of flax cake is stable this week. In recent days, the weather has been cold in various places. As a high-calorie flaxseed cake, the proportion in the feed ratio has increased, so the flax cake transaction is good. After the Spring Festival, the operating rate of flaxseed oil plants is low, and the overall supply has decreased, which is good for the flaxseed cake market. It is expected that the price of flax cake may rise in the short term, but the flaxseed market is not optimistic, so the price of flaxseed cake may still stabilize.