Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (Week 11, 2025)

01 Sunflower

Week 11 (March 10-14, 2025) The domestic sunflower price rose slightly this week. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices are relatively stable. Local sunflower stocks are low, and prices have risen slightly. In terms of demand, it is mainly based on rigid demand, with little market trading volume and sluggish sales. As foreign prices continue to rise, oil mills are in a wait-and-see attitude, which is bearish for the sunflower market. Foreign market supply may continue to be turbulent, and the constant changes in exchange rates affect the arrival of sunflowers. At present, the supply of sunflowers in various places is tight, and the price trend is strong. In addition, the decline in sunflower crushing profits has suppressed the market price of sunflowers.

It is expected that the price of sunflowers will run smoothly. Although the sales speed of sunflowers is slow, the demand is weak, and the supply of sunflowers is tight, it supports the sunflower market. The terminal market price is relatively stable, so the price of sunflowers may remain stable. If the foreign market price is still rising and the import cost increases, the price of sunflowers will still have room to rise. Pay more attention to the foreign market price and the trend of my country's import volume in the future.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 11 (March 10-March 14, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,908 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 11,200 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 10,100 yuan/ton, and the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin and Shanghai has stopped. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower oil prices rose steadily. Affected by the rise in rapeseed oil prices, sunflower oil prices rose slightly. On the other hand, the domestic supply of sunflower oil continued to be tight, and dealers were reluctant to sell, supporting the rise in sunflower oil prices. In terms of demand, due to the continued rise in prices, some dealers are still waiting and watching, there are many inquiries in the market, and the transaction volume is average.

It is expected that sunflower oil prices may continue to rise in the short term. The supply of sunflower oil at home and abroad is tight, and the quotation is on the rise, so the possibility of domestic sunflower oil rising is relatively large. However, the high price suppresses demand, and the speed of sunflower oil sales slows down, suppressing the price of sunflower oil. In the medium and long term, Russia will lift sanctions, and although the arrival of Russian sunflower oil will increase, the tight supply situation may not be alleviated, and the sunflower oil market may remain stable.