Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (Week 12, 2025)

01 Sunflower

Week 12 (March 17-March 21, 2025) The domestic sunflower price is relatively stable this week. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices are relatively stable. At present, most oil mills are in a wait-and-see attitude, mainly based on rigid demand, with low market trading volume and sluggish sales. However, as foreign prices continue to rise, import costs have increased, supporting the market price of sunflowers. In terms of supply, the number of sunflowers on the market is tight, and the number of sunflowers arriving at the port is not large, which is good for the sunflower market.

It is expected that the price of sunflowers will run smoothly. Although the sales speed of sunflowers is slow, the demand is weak, and the supply of sunflowers is tight. Foreign prices are still rising, import costs are increasing, and there is still room for the price of sunflowers to rise. Pay more attention to foreign prices and the trend of my country's import volume in the future.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 12 (March 17-March 21, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,883 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 11,200 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 10,100 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 11,000 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Shanghai is 10,950 yuan/ton. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, the price of domestic sunflower oil was lowered in some areas, mainly because the price of sunflower oil was too high and the cost performance was not high, which suppressed demand. Dealers said that the goods were slow to move, so they lowered the price. On the supply side, due to the 67.9% year-on-year decrease in the port volume from January to February, the supply of sunflower oil continued to be tight, and dealers were reluctant to sell, which supported the price of sunflower oil. On the demand side, due to the continuous increase in prices, some dealers are still waiting and watching, there are many inquiries in the market, and demand is weak.

It is expected that the price of sunflower oil may rise in the short term. The supply of sunflower oil at home and abroad is tight, the prices of oil sunflower and sunflower oil are on the rise, the import cost is increasing, and the Russian ruble exchange rate is strengthening, so the possibility of domestic sunflower oil rising is relatively large. However, the high price suppresses demand, and the slowdown in the sales of sunflower oil may suppress the price of sunflower oil.