Flaxseed, flax oil and flax cake market forecast (week 3, 2025)

01 Flaxseed

In the third week (January 13-January 17, 2025), the national average price of domestic flax seeds is 5,188 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade screened flax seeds at Tianjin Port is 5,150 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade raw flax seeds at Tianjin Port is 5,000 yuan/ton. The flax seed market conditions in various regions this week are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, the national flaxseed price remained stable. In terms of supply, the arrival volume of flaxseed at Chinese ports is relatively large, and the market volume of flaxseed at ports will be relatively large in the later period, with sufficient supply. In terms of demand, the current purchase volume of Chinese flaxseed oil mills is lower than expected, and after the Spring Festival, the operating rate of Chinese flaxseed oil mills will fall, which is bearish for the port flaxseed market. This week, the international flaxseed price, the new season flaxseed in the Black Sea region of southern Russia is 550-555 US dollars/ton, down from last week; 530-540 US dollars/ton in the central region, with a shipping date of February-March, which is the same as last week; Canada quoted 590 US dollars/ton, down from last week; Kazakhstan quoted 500-510 US dollars/ton, which is stable compared with last week.

It is expected that the price of flaxseed will remain stable in the short term. A large number of flaxseeds have arrived at the port, the arrival cost in Russia is relatively low, the supply is sufficient, and the demand of oil mills is weak, which is bearish for the flaxseed market. The fundamentals of flaxseed are strong in supply and weak in demand, and there is a possibility of a decline after the holiday.

02 Flax oil

Week 3 (January 13-17, 2025) The prices of second and third grade linseed oil in various parts of China this week are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, the price of linseed oil remained stable. At present, the operating rate of linseed oil factories in China has increased, and the supply of linseed oil is sufficient, which is bearish for the linseed oil market. In terms of demand, with the Spring Festival approaching, linseed oil has entered the peak consumption season, and the sales speed is fast, which is good for the linseed oil market. It is expected that the price of linseed oil will remain stable in the short term. The domestic soybean oil and rapeseed oil prices are weak, which drags down the linseed oil market. According to past experience, the operating rate after the festival is low, so the supply of linseed oil in the market is not large, which supports the linseed oil market.

03 Flax cake

Week 3 (January 13-January 17, 2025) This week's flaxseed cake prices are as follows: Zhangjiakou 2800-3400 yuan/ton; Datong 2700-2800 yuan/ton; Shenchi 3000 yuan/ton; Zhongwei 2600-2900 yuan/ton; Shizuishan 3300 yuan/ton; Baotou 3000 yuan/ton; Tianjin 3200 yuan/ton.

Weekly Review:

The overall price of flax cakes was stable this week. The main reason is that the temperature in various parts of the country was high this winter, and the proportion of flaxseed cakes as high-calorie flaxseed cakes in feed ratios did not increase significantly, so flax cakes were not sold well and demand was weak. As the Spring Festival approaches, the operating rate of flaxseed oil plants is high, and the overall supply has increased, which is bearish for the flaxseed cake market. It is expected that the price of flax cakes may continue to run smoothly in the short term, but the flaxseed market is not optimistic, so the price of flaxseed cakes may fall.